We have recently witnessed or are about to witness the implosion of a series of crowded trades namely long bitcoin, long Index ETF's and short volatility. The most important crowded trade of all is the dollar carry trade and this has been in vogue since the early 1980's. However the dollar appears to have broken out of its long term down trend line in the last 8 years post the great recession of 2008 though reluctantly so. When the real up move in the dollar occurs which is imminent look for massive carry trade liquidation and a rout in risky assets such as stocks, commodities and emerging market currencies:
The S&P 500 and the Election Year Cycle | Robert Miner
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I am recording this on April 25th and am going to talk about the S&P 500
and the election cycle today. [...] Within the next three weeks there is
going to ...
59 minutes ago